What is Greenflation?
The world
faces a growing paradox in the campaign to contain climate change. The harder
it pushes the transition to a greener economy, the more expensive the campaign
becomes, and less likely it is to achieve the off limiting the worst effects of
global warning. Government spending is pushing up demand for commodities to
construct a greener economy all over the world. Tighter regulation is reducing
supply by discouraging investments in mines, smelters, and other
carbon-emitting sources. As a result, metals and minerals such as copper,
aluminium, and lithium, which are required for solar and wind power, electric
cars, and other renewable technologies, are becoming more expensive. This is
referred to as Greenflation.
Relation
between Energy and Greenflation.
The news
last year was rife with reports of global energy shortages. Power interruptions
in China have resulted in significant reductions in industrial output in 2020.
Last month, European gas prices reached new highs. While rising gas costs have
had a negative impact on UK businesses and households, many
domestic providers have gone into administration or ceased trading.
Natural gas is now used more frequently to heat homes and generate energy in
several countries. This is because of a global campaign to phase out coal and
transition to lower-carbon energy sources. However, the current natural gas
supply cannot fulfil the current need for post-pandemic recovery. Many
countries have made a push to stop exploiting fossil fuels on their own soil,
but they still import fuel from other countries to meet their energy needs.
Countries are competing for supplies as exporters such as Russia want to keep
more gas for domestic use.
How soaring
gas prices is pushing for renewables?
Natural
gas prices in the United States have remained stable because the country not
only has more natural gas than it needs to meet local demand, but also lacks
the infrastructure to export it to meet worldwide demand. This crisis has
strengthened governments’ desperation to move to a greener economy. Lithium, a
critical component in battery manufacturing, has seen its price soar as the
demand for electric vehicles and renewable infrastructure grows. Benchmark
lithium carbonate prices peaked in 2021, as mining companies scrambled to
enhance production from current facilities and discover alternative supply
sources. Other battery-related metals, such as cobalt, have doubled in price
since January to $70,000 per tonne, while nickel has risen 15% to $20,000. Some
analysts believe there will be a short-term supply shortfall. The main reason
for this is that many mines were closed in 2020 because of low
prices. As the pandemic persists, rehiring employees and restoring output to
pre-pandemic levels has proven tough.
Copper
and aluminium are two of the most significant metals for green electrification.
However, environmental, social, and governance concerns have stifled investment
in these metals. Countries are limiting the production of metals like aluminium
to reduce the environmental impact of mining. This appears to be an
environmentally friendly option. Aluminium is the dirtiest metal that causes
the most damage during the extraction process. It is, however, one of the
most important metals for solar and other green energy projects.
Renewable
energy systems require more wiring than fossil fuel technology. Solar and wind
power plants consume up to six times as much copper as traditional power
plants. And, as governments announce new green expenditure plans and
pledges. The demand for key metals is expected to continue to rise. It is
critical to establish a more balanced approach to transitioning to sustainable
energy sources. Stopping investments in oil production and new mines will
exacerbate the situation. Oil businesses choke on low investments and are being
denied the opportunity to transition. As oil supply drops, governments scramble
to upgrade their renewable infrastructure in a hurry, driving up resource
prices even further.
Final
thoughts
Transitioning
to green energy sources may sound appealing in theory, but it is a tough
concept to grasp. In the fight against climate change, the investment world is
becoming increasingly narrow minded and ignoring the transition argument for
many companies. The harder the campaign pushes for a greener economy, the more
expensive it becomes and the less choice for investors, the less likely it is
to achieve its goal of minimizing the worst effects of climate change.
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